Ian Black in Brussels
Friday July 28, 2000
The European Union could
admit up to 75m immigrants over the next half-century and must be
prepared to become a racially hybrid society, according to a paper
drawn up by France.
Jean-Pierre Chevènement, the French interior minister, produced
the document for a meeting of EU ministers in Marseille today.
Citizens of the EU should be told, the paper says, that Europe will
become an area of "cross-fertilisation" ( métissage ).
Diplomats expressed surprise at the blunt language of the text,
which avoids any suspicion of Anglo-Saxon political correctness to
argue that with declining fertility and birthrates, the issue of
legal immigration into the EU must be tackled.
Mr Chevènement, an often outspoken nationalist, created
controversy recently when he accused Germany of not having overcome
its Nazi past.
"Public opinion must be told clearly that Europe, a land of
immigration, will become a place where cross-fertilisation occurs,"
says the document. Métissage also translates as cross-breeding.
"Public opinion needs to be enlightened and convinced, and more
so in countries of recent immigration than others."
But it adds: "To allow access is not to renounce all forms of
control. Ensuring cross-fertilisation requires a careful and
controlling hand, in immigration terms."
Mr Chevènement is in effect issuing a wake-up call to governments
to consider resuming what demographers call "primary migration",
encouraging the entry of economic job hunters who intend to stay and
bring their families.
But the French minister anticipated that "a reasonable policy of
integration" that brought in 50m to 75m immigrants by 2050 would
leave unchanged "the percentage of the population of non-European
origin".
Jack Straw, Britain's home secretary, is among those attending
today's Marseille meeting, organised by France in its role as holder
of the EU's rotating presidency. Illegal immigration is one of the
topics.
"We need to look imaginatively at how to meet the legal desire
for immigration," said a Home Office official in London last night.
But the unvarnished French analysis could fuel anti-EU sentiment
in Britain, where the government has pledged to keep border controls
and crack down on those it deems false asylum-seekers.
And across the continent, immigration has fuelled anti-foreigner
sentiment in a range of countries including Germany, Sweden and
Spain. In Austria the issue has been exploited by the far-right
Freedom party led by Jörg Haider.
Fears are widespread of a new influx from Poland and Hungary once
they join the EU in coming years.
Immigration is an increasing preoccupation for Brussels, but
decisions are still made by member states, not the European
Commission.
The French document is based partly on a recent survey by the UN
Population Division. That said the population of the 15 EU countries
and countries currently bidding for membership would fall in the
next 50 years from 729m to 628m while the world's population would
grow from 6bn to 9bn.
Immigrants, mostly from developing countries, would be needed to
fill the vacuum, the UN report argued. Germany recently illustrated
one approach to the problem, calling for the immigration of 20,000
IT specialists from India.
Ireland, whose economy is booming, is considering importing some
200,000 skilled workers over seven years.